{"id":123,"date":"2008-11-21T23:52:45","date_gmt":"2008-11-21T23:52:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zavie.free.fr\/lousodrome\/?p=123"},"modified":"2008-11-21T23:52:45","modified_gmt":"2008-11-21T23:52:45","slug":"la-fete-est-finie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lousodrome.net\/blog\/blog\/2008\/11\/21\/la-fete-est-finie\/","title":{"rendered":"La f\u00eate est finie"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Ce graphique, obtenu gr\u00e2ce au site Boursorama<\/a>, pr\u00e9sente l’\u00e9volution du CAC40 au cours des cinq derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. \u00e0 gauche, c’est la fin de la chute due \u00e0 l’\u00e9clatement de la bulle Internet. S’en est suivie une p\u00e9riode de croissance remarquable, avec une apog\u00e9e en 2007, o\u00f9 le CAC40 valait plus de 5000 points, et d\u00e9passait m\u00eame les 6000 par moments. Bref c’\u00e9tait la f\u00eate.<\/p>\n

Puis il y a eu un certain recul, en plusieurs paliers, importants mais pas dramatiques. Et soudain, les subprimes<\/em> : depuis c’est le drame. Hier le CAC40 a enfonc\u00e9 la barre symbolique des 3000 points, autrement dit il avait perdu la moiti\u00e9 de sa valeur par rapport \u00e0 un an et demi plus t\u00f4t. Aujourd’hui il est pass\u00e9 sous la barre des 2900 points.<\/p>\n

Le voil\u00e0 revenu \u00e0 sa valeur de mai 2003, \u00e0 la fin de la crise. Manifestement, la f\u00eate est finie.<\/p>\n

Alors maintenant que va-t-il se passer ? L’\u00e9tendue de mon ignorance en mati\u00e8re d’\u00e9conomie ne me permet certainement pas de m’avancer ; tout juste de constater. Mais il faut noter qu’au cours des derni\u00e8res semaines, la valeur a rebondit plusieurs fois sur un support \u00e0 3200. Cela est \u00e0 mon avis en partie d\u00fb au fait que les achats et ventes sont effectu\u00e9s par des humains, et que les humains aiment bien les nombres ronds. Aussi, il est probable que de nombreux ordres d’achat aient \u00e9t\u00e9 script\u00e9s pour \u00eatre lanc\u00e9s \u00e0 l’approche de ce seuil, ayant pour cons\u00e9quence de faire remonter la valeur \u00e0 chaque fois.<\/p>\n

Apr\u00e8s l’annonce de la faillite de Lehman Brothers<\/a> le 15 septembre, le CAC40 s’\u00e9tait \u00e9croul\u00e9 de 4350 \u00e0 4000, puis avait rebondit plusieurs fois sur cette valeur jusqu’au vendredi 3 octobre. Le lundi, il la passait, et s’effondrait alors \u00e0 3200 en seulement cinq jours, soit une chute de plus de 22%, ce qui lui avait valu la premi\u00e8re page de grands quotidiens plusieurs jours de suite.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Mais maintenant que l’on est m\u00eame pass\u00e9 en dessous de 2900, sur quoi va-t-on rebondir ? Est-ce que la chute va se calmer, ou reprendre de plus belle comme pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment ?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ce graphique, obtenu gr\u00e2ce au site Boursorama, pr\u00e9sente l’\u00e9volution du CAC40 au cours des cinq derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. \u00e0 gauche, c’est la fin de la chute due \u00e0 l’\u00e9clatement de la bulle Internet. S’en est suivie une p\u00e9riode de croissance remarquable, … Continuer la lecture →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7,24,25],"tags":[59,61,77,92],"yoast_head":"\nLa f\u00eate est finie - Lousodrome<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lousodrome.net\/blog\/blog\/2008\/11\/21\/la-fete-est-finie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La f\u00eate est finie - Lousodrome\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ce graphique, obtenu gr\u00e2ce au site Boursorama, pr\u00e9sente l’\u00e9volution du CAC40 au cours des cinq derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. \u00e0 gauche, c’est la fin de la chute due \u00e0 l’\u00e9clatement de la bulle Internet. 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